Hot stove analysis of offseason trades and free agent signings

MLB

Tracking the offseason MLB trades and signings with fantasy baseball implications for the upcoming season, Eric Karabell and Tristan H. Cockcroft will analyze and provide an outlook for all of the key players involved.

The MLB offseason is in full swing. Juan Soto has now signed with the New York Mets, but other big bats are still looking for a place to land, including Alex Bregman, Pete Alonso and Teoscar Hernandez. Meanwhile, the New York Yankees addressed their rotation by adding Max Fried on Tuesday, and other bigger-name pitchers such as Corbin Burnes could be in new clubhouses very soon.

Note: Not every transaction warrants the attention of fantasy managers, but for those signings and trades that do merit analysis, you’ll find them listed below. Players will be separated by position and then listed in chronological order of the move within each positional grouping, with the latest news coming first. Also included are links to any standalone analysis stories and/or videos regarding major free agent signings and trades. Players who end up re-signing with their previous team will not always be included.

Jump to: Catcher | First base | Second base | Shortstop | Third base | Outfield | DH | Starting pitcher | Relief pitcher


Catcher

Kyle Teel traded from Red Sox to White Sox: Teel, one of the better prospects in the sport, regardless of position (he ranked No. 34 overall in Kylie McDaniel’s most recent top-100 MLB prospects) comes to Chicago in the Garrett Crochet trade, and he may make immediate impact with his new club. The No. 14 pick in the 2023 amateur draft offers modest power, but he hits for average, draws walks and possesses excellent on-base ability, which we all covet in points formats. Teel may need more Triple-A time in 2025, but he and fellow top prospect Edgar Quero could form a top tandem soon (or Quero may move to first base). Fantasy managers must pay attention to both of them. — Karabell (12/11)

Gary Sanchez signs with Orioles: Sanchez is the rare backup catcher we can count on for double-digit home runs, since he has reached that mark in nine consecutive seasons. Adley Rutschman is the starter, and Sanchez will likely fill in behind the plate occasionally versus lefties. Still, it’s enough to consider him in deeper, multi-catcher formats. — Karabell (12/8)

Danny Jansen signs with Rays: Jansen, 29, is hardly coming off his best offensive season, and he’s certainly not the most durable catcher, but there is fantasy relevance as he remains in the AL East. Jansen hit 32 homers over a mere 549 PA in 2022-23 for Toronto. Even with roughly half a season of playing time, do not be surprised if he returns to top-20 catcher production with Tampa Bay. — Karabell (12/6)

Kyle Higashioka signs with Rangers: Higashioka’s only season with the Padres produced 17 homers and 134 ESPN fantasy points — a top-30 figure for catchers. It might have been a career year, but Higashioka reached double-digit home runs for the fourth consecutive season, and he should split time in Texas with Jonah Heim, who struggled in 2024. Take Heim earlier in drafts, but Higashioka warrants deep-league attention. — Karabell (12/3)

Travis d’Arnaud signs with Angels: This is a bit of an odd one since the Angels boast much younger C Logan O’Hoppe, who has hit 34 homers over his past 721 PA (over two seasons). Perhaps they wish to corner the market on apostrophe-themed players? The Braves enjoyed d’Arnaud as he hit 44 homers over the past three seasons, mainly in a timeshare role, but he turns 36 in February and figures to see less playing time as a member of the Angels. That isn’t ideal in fantasy. — Karabell (11/12)

Other selected free agents: James McCann


First base

Spencer Horwitz traded to Pirates: Horwitz was traded from the Blue Jays to the Guardians, then immediately flipped to the Pirates in a pretty good haul of speculative young pitching by the Guardians. Horwitz, who split his time for the Blue Jays almost evenly between first and second base, should man the former for his new team. He has a patience-and-contact approach that might make him a mixed-league sleeper in a better offense or venue, but the Pirates are neither (pending other offseason moves), with PNC Park being notoriously poor for power. — Cockcroft (12/11)

Selected free agents: Paul Goldschmidt, Pete Alonso, Anthony Rizzo, Josh Bell, Christian Walker, Carlos Santana


Second base

Andres Gimenez traded from Guardians to Blue Jays: A defensive whiz whose best fantasy contribution to his new team might be the benefit he provides their pitchers, Gimenez has the kind of contact-and-speed game that can be nevertheless handy in fantasy baseball. He’s much more of a rotisserie than points-based asset, with a high-water seasonal finish of 46th overall on the 2022 Player Rater, but he has never finished higher than 88th in fantasy points (his 2024 ranking).

Gimenez can be a high-floor player in points leagues, however, and he’ll probably bat high in the Blue Jays order, boosting his runs scored total. He’s a clear top-10 second baseman in roto play, but is more of a “round out your lineup” type in ESPN’s standard points leagues. — Cockcroft (12/10)

Thairo Estrada signs with Rockies: Estrada was a relevant fantasy option in 2022 and 2023, hitting 28 homers and stealing 44 bases for the Giants, but injuries set him back this past season, as he played in only 96 games. Heading to Colorado for half of his home games intrigues for sure. Estrada is a contact-inclined player who runs, and he should outperform the departed Brendan Rodgers, mainly for roto formats. — Karabell (12/10)

Jonathan India traded from Reds to Royals: India, the 2021 NL Rookie of the Year, played in a career-high 151 games last season, reaching double digits in both home runs and stolen bases for the third time. India isn’t known for a high batting average, but he is particularly valuable in points leagues for his ability to reach base. Only four players drew more than his 80 walks last season. Playing half of his home games in Kansas City rather than Cincinnati might affect his power stats, but India’s discipline should travel, and a spot atop his new lineup is likely. His value shouldn’t change much. — Karabell (11/22)

Other selected free agents: Gleyber Torres, Brandon Drury, Jorge Polanco, Adam Frazier


Shortstop

Willy Adames signs with Giants: The Giants, desperate for a shortstop, get the top available option. Adames slugged 32 homers for the Brewers while also delivering career bests with 112 RBI, 21 steals and 93 runs. Switching his home park to pitcher-friendly San Francisco may bring his numbers down a bit, but Adames, who hits right-handed, has hit considerably better versus right-handed pitching over the last three seasons — so perhaps his home park is not a big deal. A 2024 top-20 hitter in both points and roto/category (where he is more valuable) formats, Adames should remain a relevant run-producer and a top-100 pick for 2025. — Karabell (12/7)

Other selected free agents: Ha-Seong Kim, Kyle Farmer, Enrique Hernandez, Paul DeJong, Garrett Hampson, Amed Rosario, Jose Iglesias


Third base

Selected free agents: Alex Bregman, Yoan Moncada


Outfield

Juan Soto signs with Mets: It’s true, Citi Field is a much more pitching-friendly environment than Soto’s single-year home, Yankee Stadium — and particularly so for left-handed hitters … (however) it’s a fair assumption to think that Soto will be surrounded with a robust supporting cast that will only enhance his number of RBI and run-scoring opportunities. — Cockcroft (12/9)

Want more? Read the full story on the fantasy impact of Soto signing with the Mets.

Michael Conforto signs with Dodgers: Last season, Conforto hit 20 home runs for the Giants, his first time reaching that number since 2019, though it was not enough to make him a top-50 outfielder for ESPN points formats. The Dodgers figure to utilize him in a similar platoon role, and fantasy managers should consider getting him into the lineup when he faces right-handed pitching. — Karabell (12/8)

Tyler O’Neill signs with Orioles: O’Neill rebounded well enough in his lone Red Sox season to earn a lucrative free-agent contract, smashing 31 home runs after several injury-plagued campaigns. He also struck out a bloated 33.6% of his at-bats, posted a sub-.700 OPS versus right-handed pitching, and missed 49 games due to various maladies. When healthy, O’Neill should enjoy batting in Baltimore, with the left field fence being adjusted to be friendlier for hitters, but he remains a risky fantasy option for his plate approach and inconsistency. Be cautious in assuming that another top-100 fantasy campaign is on the way here. –Karabell (12/7)

Jose Siri traded from Rays to Mets: Siri is an excellent defensive center fielder, and a reasonable replacement to fill the Harrison Bader/Tyrone Taylor role in New York. As a hitter, Siri boasts modest power and speed, having amassed 43 homers and 26 steals over the past two seasons, but still he lacks much fantasy value after hitting just .187 with a 38% strikeout rate in 2024. Until Siri becomes more disciplined and makes more contact (which seems unlikely at this stage), avoid the lure of the counting numbers. — Karabell (11/19)

Other selected free agents: Teoscar Hernandez, Mark Canha, Anthony Santander, Harrison Bader, Manuel Margot, Alex Verdugo, Max Kepler


Designated hitter

Jake Burger traded from Marlins to Rangers: Burger has been a forgotten man the past year-plus while he played in an extreme pitchers’ park and for a 62-100 Marlins team in 2024. He should immediately benefit by joining a much more potent lineup and moving to a noticeably better power environment at Globe Life Field. Burger will serve as the Rangers’ designated hitter — don’t panic, Josh Jung managers! — allowing Josh Smith to return to his traditional utilityman role, and should offer fantasy managers 30-plus homers (but 150-plus K’s) on the cheap. — Cockcroft (12/11)

Jorge Soler traded from Braves to Angels: We know what the well-traveled Soler is at this point, and he is more valuable than most realize. Soler, 32, has hit 57 home runs over the past two seasons for three clubs, and now he heads back to the AL, where he boasts a HR title for the 2019 Royals. Soler will never win a batting title or a Gold Glove, but consistent power and a double-digit walk rate every season cannot be ignored. He was the OF31 in ESPN points leagues in 2024, a bit underrated as he remained available in many leagues, and there is little reason to expect diminished performance in 2025. The acquisition works well for this power-starved lineup, although adding Soler likely means Mike Trout remains a regular outfielder. — Karabell (10/31)

Other selected free agents: Marcell Ozuna, Justin Turner, Joc Pederson, J.D. Martinez, Eloy Jimenez, Andrew McCutchen


Starting pitcher

Garrett Crochet traded from White Sox to Red Sox: The Red Sox sure like trading with the White Sox for tall left-handers with major strikeout rates. Eight years after acquiring Chris Sale from Chicago, Boston sends several top prospects for Crochet, who posted a 35% strikeout rate over 32 starts in 2024, earning an AL All-Star berth. Crochet is currently nowhere near as accomplished as Sale was at the time, though. Sale had been earning Cy Young votes for five seasons. Crochet has yet to reach 150 innings in any season. Still, it’s easy to project Crochet, 25, to be a legitimate ace with a contending team — and a potential top-10 fantasy starter. For now, volume concerns leave him outside that range, but certainly a top-20 starter with upside lurks. — Karabell (12/11)

Max Fried signs with New York Yankees: As the Yankees forged ahead without Juan Soto, addressing their rotation was their first step. Adding Fried gives them a solid No. 2/3 starter (which depends upon where they slot Carlos Rodon), albeit one with a bit of injury risk.

Though not a top-shelf fantasy starting pitcher, Fried has been consistently good across the past six seasons, finishing 38th among starting pitchers in 2019, 21st in 2020, 24th in 2021, 15th in 2022 and 31st most recently in 2024. Forearm issues cost him nearly three months of 2023 and three-plus weeks around the midpoint of last season, but one would think that his agreeing to an eight-year, $218 million deal means the Yankees were confident enough in his ability to stay healthy.

Fried should deliver about 30 of the highest-floor starts you’ll find in fantasy drafts, though his ERA might increase a tick with the move to homer-friendly Yankee Stadium. Consider him a top-30 pick at his position. — Cockcroft (12/10)

Alex Cobb signs with Detroit Tigers: A plenty productive pitcher during his 2022-23 run with the Giants, placing 61st and 63rd among starting pitchers in fantasy points in those years, Cobb simply couldn’t stay healthy in 2024. Between hip, hand, shoulder, finger and back issues, he was held to three regular-season and two postseason starts, albeit with similar performance to the two years that preceded it. The Tigers are surely banking on him staying healthier in 2025, though fantasy managers can freely “pick and choose” from his matchups rather than taking the plunge on draft day. — Cockcroft (12/9)

Luis Severino signs with Athletics: Few saw this one coming, but the Athletics are spending money — and a lot of it — for Severino, who resurrected his career with the 2024 Mets. He posted a reasonable 3.91 ERA over 31 starts, his most since 2018. Severino’s strikeout rate looks little like the old Yankees days (though it improved over the final two months) as he wisely utilized a sinker to induce more soft contact and ground balls. The Athletics are scheduled to play half their games in Sacramento’s minor league park, so keeping this ground ball strategy seems relevant.

Give Severino credit. Few expected him to end up among the top-50 pitching scorers in ESPN standard points leagues this past season. His track record for health and his new, unfamiliar surroundings likely leaves him on the outside of that range for draft day — but not by much. — Karabell (12/5)

Frankie Montas signs with Mets: Montas’ return last season from shoulder issues went respectably, including 150⅔ IP and 148 strikeouts, both his second-best numbers. Plus, an uptick in strikeouts following his deadline trade to the Brewers (28.7%, compared to 23.9% for his career) offers promise. Citi Field’s more pitcher-friendly confines could boost his number of stream-worthy starts in mixed leagues. The ceiling for Montas isn’t quite at 2021’s peak level, however, so don’t get too carried away with thoughts that the Mets’ coaching staff — which squeezed a lot out of Sean Manaea and Luis Severino in 2024 — are bound to do it again. — Cockcroft (12/2)

Matthew Boyd signs with Cubs: Boyd’s return from Tommy John surgery went about as well as anyone could have possibly expected. Check out his 2.28 ERA and 28.2% strikeout rate (including his postseason work), though also note that his average of 4.7 innings across 11 starts left a lot to be desired in fantasy terms. If he continues to show the heightened velocity and changeup effectiveness he had during his short spring training stint, he could be a sleeper/top-50 ceiling starting pitcher. Still, a pitcher with Boyd’s recent track record in terms of health is a poor bet to reach the 150-IP threshold. — Cockcroft (12/2)

Blake Snell signs with Dodgers: The rich get richer and a fantasy ace only gets “ace-ier.” Snell’s massive five-year, $182 million contract — which includes a large signing bonus and deferrals, for those who fret about the salary cap — reflects the elite level at which he can pitch, at least when he’s healthy and in his midseason rhythm.

To illustrate, from the date of his July 9 return from a groin injury forward last season, Snell outscored every pitcher in fantasy baseball by 28 points (using ESPN’s standard scoring), and every player except for the two league MVPs, Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge. Additionally, Snell was the No. 6 SP during his 2018 AL Cy Young campaign, the No. 3 SP during his 2023 NL Cy Young campaign, the No. 2 SP over his final seven starts of 2021 and the No. 15 SP over the final three months of 2022.

The problem is that, outside of those specific time periods — and all that above reflects plenty of “great,” to be sure — Snell has a 15-22 record and 4.95 ERA over 67 starts, leaving him as an effectively unusable fantasy option during those times, outside of the fact that he still sported a 29.4% strikeout rate. This inconsistency is why landing with the Dodgers represents about the best possible spot for the left-hander, not only because of the maximized team support (read: lineup, bullpen), but also because the team is about the strongest proponent of the six-man rotation and rotational maintenance as there is.

Snell might have chosen the best destination for lowering the risk involved in his fantasy investment, and he’ll surely rank among the betting favorites for a third Cy Young Award for that reason. Now, that doesn’t eliminate entirely the chance that, at age 32, Snell will miss additional time due to injury, but at least for 2025 he’s lined up for a full spring training ramp-up — a big contrast from his sluggish start to 2024 — and a much-heightened floor. He now warrants consideration for a top-15 SP ranking in 2025 drafts. — Cockcroft (11/27)

Yusei Kikuchi signs with Angels: The Japanese left-hander has always been a strikeout option (for the Mariners, Blue Jays, Astros and fantasy managers) and expectations figure to be higher in 2025 after he finished so strong for Houston. Kikuchi made 10 starts for the Astros after being acquired near the trade deadline, adjusting his pitch mix to rely heavily on sliders — arguably his best pitch — and he was far more effective versus right-handed batters. He averaged 11.3 ESPN fantasy points for the season, but 17.2 points for the Astros. One would think that Kikuchi will bring his new attacking style with him to the Angels, and fantasy managers might consider him as a potential top-40 starting pitcher. — Karabell (11/25)

Brady Singer traded from Royals to Reds: Singer bounced back in 2024 with modest numbers, though not as excellent as in his breakout 2022 campaign. He will have a rotation spot for the Reds, but switching home ballparks may be a problem. Singer has posted a 3.51 home ERA over the past three seasons but away from Kansas City’s large park his ERA was 5.03. The Reds desired an innings-eater but fantasy managers may not enjoy the new results. — Karabell (11/22)

Kyle Hendricks signs with Angels: Once upon a time, Hendricks was a reasonable fantasy option posting strong ERA and WHIP numbers for the Cubs. Now he’s an Angel, but he won’t be much of one for your fantasy team. Hendricks, 34, has been a below-average starter since 2020, and he was never much of a strikeout pitcher. Now he is even less of one. Hendricks is coming off his worst season and the Angels are desperate for innings. You shouldn’t be. — Karabell (11/6)

Griffin Canning traded from Angels to Braves: Canning pitched terribly in 2024, his 5.19 ERA being third worst among 59 qualifiers (ahead of only Patrick Corbin and Miles Mikolas) and only one pitcher (Kutter Crawford) permitting more than his 31 home runs. However, we have seen the Braves work magic with pitchers in recent seasons, and Canning, who has one year left on his contract, showed promise in 2023, earning a 25.9% strikeout rate with his pitch mix heavy in sliders and four-seamers. Nobody is saying this is the next Reynaldo Lopez, but it is Atlanta, so we should be a little intrigued as late-round picks go. — Karabell (10/31)

*Note: Canning was non-tendered by the Braves on 11/22 and is now a free agent.

Other selected free agents: Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Patrick Corbin, Charlie Morton, Corbin Burnes, Sean Manaea, Jack Flaherty, Jose Quintana, Kyle Gibson, Andrew Heaney, Roki Sasaki


Relief pitcher

Jordan Romano signs with Phillies: Romano was among the top closers from 2021 through 2023 with the Blue Jays, saving 95 games with other solid numbers. The Phillies are banking on a return to that level of performance, if not necessarily that same role. Romano dealt with elbow issues and struggled in 2024. Don’t even look at the statistics. They don’t matter. A healthy Romano may close for the Phillies, but also be aware nobody has saved 30 games for Philadelphia since Jeanmar Gomez (remember him?!) back in 2016, as the franchise’s long-standing committee approach bears watching. — Karabell (12/9)

Clay Holmes signs with Mets: Holmes saved 74 games over the past three seasons for the other New York team and, while he lost the closing role during this past season — 13 blown saves! — he still brought fantasy value. The Mets, however, intend to utilize Holmes as a starter, which he last did (four times) in 2018. Edwin Diaz is safe as closer! Perhaps it all works out the way it did for standout Atlanta’s Reynaldo Lopez, but fantasy managers should assume little. An extreme ground ball inducer who suppresses home runs, Holmes has the arsenal to start, but don’t expect a high strikeout rate. He is more of a late-round sleeper pick than a sure thing . — Karabell (12/6)

Aroldis Chapman signs with Red Sox: Chapman, third among active pitchers with 335 saves, might replace the fellow who leads the list, free agent Kenley Jansen, as the team’s closer. The Red Sox also employ RHP Liam Hendriks (elbow), who did not pitch in 2024. The hard-throwing Chapman saved 14 games for last season’s Pirates, with his most recent 30-save campaign coming for the 2021 Yankees. Chapman remains effective enough, as only six relief pitchers accrued more strikeouts last season, yet no reliever issued more walks. Neither Chapman nor Hendriks can be considered a top-10 RP in drafts until we have more clarity. This should be interesting. — Karabell (12/3)

Other selected free agents: Kenley Jansen, Ryan Pressly, David Robertson, Drew Smyly, Paul Sewald

Products You May Like

Articles You May Like

Odom welcomed at Purdue, talks UNLV QB issue
Jerry Jeudy and Jameis Winston pick right back up where they left off, score early vs. Steelers
Rugby World Cup 2027 FAQs: Format, qualification, tickets
Sources: Lakers’ Olivari to sign Curry Brand deal
Jets, Giants on pace for worst record in same season since 1960

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *