Big picture
For Rajasthan Royals and Royal Challengers Bangalore, the only way is up. With both sides having lost three in a row, the tournament faces the prospect of having one side winless well into the second week.
Royals have been in winning positions in each of their three games, but have lost the plot when they’ve begun to seize the advantage.
Take their first match, when for the most part, Royals were behind the eight-ball against Kings XI Punjab. Then, when the game seemed to be in Royals’ grasp, a batting collapse saw Kings XI steal a win. In Hyderabad, not many gave Royals a chance against the fiery Sunrisers Hyderabad bowling attack. But they posted nearly 200 on a difficult batting track, only to lose the match with an over to spare.
On Sunday, Royals’ template was pretty much the same. Chennai Super Kings entered the match as favourites, but were promptly reduced to 28 for 3. It looked like Royals would keep CSK down to a manageable total, but then MS Dhoni blew them away. Then later in the chase, Ben Stokes’ dismissal turned the game against them with Royals needing only a dozen off the final over.
On the other side, RCB have been beaten soundly in two of the three games. As always, relying heavily on Virat Kohli and AB de Villiers has not paid off, and the side’s been all out twice already. Their pace-bowling unit, and bits-and-pieces allrounders, have not instilled fear in any side. This is where the arrival of a few Australians from the UAE will help.
Both captains have faced the heat. Kohli has faced criticism for taking RCB’s pressure on himself and Rahane for under-bowling spin in sluggish Chennai. But, believe it or not, RCB should enter the game with more belief. Royals are playing at their fortress, but have they forgotten the art of winning?
In the news
While there are no injury concerns for either side, both teams will be boosted by the arrival of the Australian contingent from the UAE. Marcus Stoinis and Nathan Coulter-Nile will link up with RCB, while Royals will have Ashton Turner available.
Likely XIs
Rajasthan Royals: 1 Ajinkya Rahane, 2 Jos Buttler, 3 Sanju Samson, 4 Rahul Tripathi, 5 Steven Smith, 6 Ben Stokes, 7 K Gowtham, 8 Shreyas Gopal, 9 Jofra Archer, 10 Jaydev Unadkat, 11 Varun Aaron
Royal Challengers Bangalore: 1 Marcus Stoinis, 2 Parthiv Patel, 3 Virat Kohli, 4 AB de Villiers, 5 Shivam Dube, 6 Colin de Grandhomme, 7 Prayas Ray Burman, 8 Nathan Coulter-Nile, 9 Umesh Yadav, 10 Mohammad Siraj, 11 Yuzvendra Chahal
Strategy punt
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RCB should look to slot in Coulter-Nile straightaway. In IPL 2017, his bowling average of 15.20 was behind only Andrew Tye, Jaydev Unadkat and Bhuvneshwar Kumar. Moreover, he could solve RCB’s death-over woes, averaging 14.40 runs per wicket in this period, with a ball-per-wicket ratio of 11.30.
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There’s also a case to open with Stoinis. In BBL 2018-19, Stoinis crunched four half-centuries from the opener’s spot, averaging 62.40 in 10 games. Since 2018, Stoinis has averaged nearly 50 as an opener, compared to averages of 5.30 as No. 3, 21.10 as No. 4 and 23.40 as No. 5. Stoinis’ addition will also bolster their bowling options, adding a sixth option to an attack that does need some variables.
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Bowl K Gowtham and Shreyas Gopal to Kohli and de Villiers. Since IPL 2018, de Villiers falls to offbreak once every 5 deliveries and is dismissed by a legspinner’s googly once every 6.50 balls. For Kohli, too, both bowlers could pose problems. Since IPL 2018, his strike-rate to the googly is only 85.7, and his strike-rate for the offbreak (75.0) is even poorer.
Stats that matter
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Virat Kohli will captain an IPL side for the 100th time on Tuesday. He also needs 40 to earn 8000 T20 runs.
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Since IPL 2018, Gowtham (8.84) and Unadkat (9.08) have the fifth and fourth worst bowling economies in the middle overs (7-15). Only Ben Cutting, Harshal Patel and Mohammad Shami have fared worse.
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This season, Jofra Archer’s bowling economy has been 6.30. In contrast, the economy of the remaining Royals pacers has been 11.30.